Week 18 Pigeon Predictions

Week 18 can start to seem like preseason in the NFL. From a Fan’s perspective, the games can seem meaningless. Whether playoff seeding is locked up, or the teams participating have already been eliminated, this is the week of “will they or won’t they” play their starters.

So, we will be very selective in the games we choose to place bets on, as many environments will be disrupted this week. Since we focus solely on Human Behavior in our Applied Football Behavior Analytics, we will keep that in mind here. Thankfully, the primetime game could not be MORE meaningful than Bills vs. Dolphins.

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction

If the Dolphins have any hope of reaching the Super Bowl, their playoffs probably start Sunday Night and not the following week. They are not who you think they are, and they are a prime example of the faulty logic of relying on averages to analyze performance.

Meanwhile, the Bills 13% improvement in controlling the clock may be what has offset offensive regression since the firing of Dorsey…

• Bills vs. Dolphins AFC East Championship Prediction

Playoff Predictions

According to Our projections for Week 18, this is how we predict the playoff picture to look when it is all said and done. Some games are predicted as virtual ties. We will note those, and list any changes a different result would have on playoff picture, assuming all of our other projections remain true.

AFC

1. Ravens

2. Bills*

3. Chiefs

4. Jaguars**

5. Browns

6. Dolphins

7. Colts***

*A Dolphins victory over the Bills would eliminate the Bills, make Dolphins the 2 seed, make the Colts the 6 seed, make the Steelers the 7 seed, if all of our other projections hold true.

**Titans victory would eliminate Jaguars entirely, vault Colts to the 4th seed and Steelers to 7th seed, if all of our other projections hold true.

*** Winner of Texans-Colts Takes This Spot, if all of our other projections hold true.

NFC

1. 49ers

2. Cowboys

3. Lions

4. Buccaneers

5. Eagles

6. Rams

7. Saints*

*A Seahawks victory over the Cardinals would place them as the 7th seed over the Saints, regardless of Saint outcome, if all of our other projections hold true.

Week 18 Pigeon Predictions

🟫Browns vs. Bengals

Score Projection: Geometric Means

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