Week 14 Prediction Recap

PLUS: The Second Law Of Football Behavior

As we continue with our education series detailing the science behind the paradigm shift in football analysis that we are spearheading, this week’s entry will be an in-depth look at the second law of football behavior.

Several weeks ago we introduced The Three Laws of Football Behavior, and dove in deep on The First Law of Football Behavior. The second law deals with the defense, how its behavior is under the control of opportunity, and how it’s behavior is slightly more dependent on its offense than vice versa.

But first, a recap of our predictions, via betting as a proof of concept, for Week 14:

Week 14 Recap

All Stats Tracked By Pikkit, a free-to-use independent bet tracking service

 Record

  • 16-9 (64%)

ROI

  • +24.84%

Profit

  • +4.7 Units

December 2023 MTD

Record

  • 35-16 (68.6%)

ROI

  • +25.96%

Profit

  • +10.3 Units

The Second Law Of Football Behavior

The defense’s primary job is to prevent the opposing offense from scoring points, and it can only prevent the scoring of points when their opponent possess the ball.

Brett Yarris, The Behavior of Football

Dive deep into what this means, and how it’s applied on the field: