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Week 14 Analytics Update
NFC North may be the BEST Division in Football
Brett Yarris
December 05, 2024 • Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes
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We are entering the home stretch of 2024’s NFL regular season. There are only 4 or 5 games left for each team. This is where the magic happens for teams looking to either solidify their hold on a postseason berth, or make a move to steal one from someone else.
In here you will find:
Week 14 TNF Projection between the Packers and the Lions 🦁
Updated Week 13 Picks Results, and Updated December Picks Record 💰
Updated Week 14 Behavior Analytics Rankings 🎥
Full 1-32 Rankings for Pigeon Picks+ Subscribers 🔢
TNF Projection
This sia big time matchup between the number 2 team in Power Rankings (Lions) and the number 1 team in our Total Team Behavior Score (Packers)
We think the Lions pull this one out, but like them to cover the 3.5 point spread. Be AWARE! There is little margin between our projected spread and the spread form the books.
Additionally, we like the Packers to score OVER 20.5 points in this one. The Packers offense is seeing a 4% week to week improvement, while the Lions defense is seeing a 4% week to week regression.
Not a huge margin here, so again, be wary. We’ll have much bigger edges in our Sunday picks.
Week 13 Pick Results
We finished Week 13 with an 8-4 record. The three losses on Thanksgiving ended November for us with 30-18 record, but the rest of Week 13 started us in December with a 8-1 record!
December Record
Updated Analytics
Top 5 Scoring Behavior Rate
Number 1?
Top 5 Score Prevention Rate
Number 1?
Top 10 Power Rankings
Number 1?
Top 5 Most Improved Teams Overall
Number 1?
Top 5 Most Consistent Offenses
Number 1?
Top 5 Most Consistent Defenses
Number 1?
Top 5 Most Consistent Teams Overall
Number 1?
Top 5 Toughest and Easiest Schedules
Toughest?
Easiest?
Top 5 Total Team Behavior Score
Number 1?
Full 1-32 Rankings
Every team ranked 1-32 in each of the four major behavior categories (Margin For Error Score, Momentum Index, Consistency Score, Strength of Schedule) and Total Team Behavior Score, which weights and combines those four.
Margin For Error Score
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