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Football Behavior Betting Tips: Bears vs. Texans

• Remember, starters won’t play and if they do, it won’t be much

• For the Bears, Tyler Bagent has starting experience in this offense

• For the Texans, all of the quarterbacks have substantial NFL experience

• The lines are volatile:

  • Two days ago the line was Bears -2, now it is Texans -1.5

  • As lineup decisions are announced, the line will move further

The preseason is where smart betters can make lots of money on the NFL, as it often comes down to continuity and experience with the reserves. In this game the Texans have both, and at the most important position, QB.

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• Unlock every pick for the 2024 NFL season so you don’t miss out on the only model using human behavior science powering it to a 63% hit percentage over 3+ NFL seasons

Key Behavioral Analytics

• Bears under Bagent in 2023 scored just over 0.5 points per minute of possession time, which was the same regardless of who the QB was, seen on the below chart with the orange lines 🔻

• Texans defense allowed slightly more than 0.6 points per minute of opponent possession time, and with the same environment coming back into place for 2024, we should see something similar, shown on the chart below with the orange line 👇

Don’t miss out on getting EVERY 2024 NFL pick from our human behavior science model, which has hit 63% of the time over 3+ NFL seasons and thousands of picks

Picks

• Given the projected lineups, environmental continuity for the Texans, and the experience at QB up and down the depth chart:

  • Texans -1.5 (-112)

  • Texans Moneyline (-135)

  • Bets placed at DraftKings Sportsbook

Don’t miss out on getting EVERY 2024 NFL pick from our human behavior science model, which has hit 63% of the time over 3+ NFL seasons and thousands of picks!