Football Behavior Improvement Index

Every Team Ranked By Improvement In Applied Scoring Behavior

Author

Brett Yarris
February 22, 2024 • Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

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2023-2024 Football Behavior Improvement Index

Every head coach in the NFL has a myriad of responsibilities. The most important is to ensure that the team that they open the season with in September is the worst version of that team by the time the season ends.

The Football Behavior Improvement Index is one of he key criterion in our Total Team Behavior Score because it allows us to assess growth and development. We’re able to assess things like the impact of coaching, the impacts of environmental change, and of roster changes.

Doing this allows us to not get caught up in the explanatory fictions of average based metrics like points per game, or standardization metrics like EPA. The Football Behavior Improvement Index was a major reason why we were telling you back in August to expect a Philadelphia regression, and why we told you throughout the season not to trust their record.

It is also why we told you the hype around the Miami Dolphins offense did not match what they were actually doing on the field since around Week 7, and how we predicted on January 9th, before the playoffs began, that the Chiefs would play and defeat the 49ers in the Super Bowl, getting through the Ravens.

This allows us to be predictive and ahead of false media narratives. Now that the season is over, here is how each team finished and why we think Sean McVay and Todd Bowles deserved coach of the year honors, why the Panthers were historically regressive, and why the collapse of the Eagles and Dolphins was inevitable.

And for full transparency, here is how we develop the Improvement Index:

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