Conference Championship Pigeon Picks

If You’re Short On Time…

• Something Changed For The Ravens and The Chiefs Over The Last 10 Games

  • How We Bet…

    • Chiefs -3.5 (-120)

    • Chiefs ML (+160)

    • Chiefs OVER 18.5 (-165)

    • Ravens UNDER 26.5 (-170)

  • Chiefs vs. Ravens Prediction

• The Lions Figured Something Out On Their Bye Week

  • How We Bet…

    • Lions +6.5 (-105)

    • 49ers ML (-290)

    • Lions OVER 20.5

    • 49ers UNDER 30.5

• UPDATED Margin For Error Rankings

  • Top 3 teams all playing on Sunday

• Full Analytics For Premium Subscribers At The End

Chiefs vs. Ravens

Seven weeks into the season, the Chiefs offense was regressing 23% week to week in their scoring behavior. Then, something changed.

Heading into their conference championship match with the Number 1 seed Ravens, they are poised to pull of the upset.

On the other side, six games into the Ravens season the offense was regressing 36% week to week in their scoring behavior. Then something changed.

Heading into the first conference championship game of the Lamar Jackson era, they’re poised to be the most difficult matchup for the Chiefs in the Patrick Mahomes era.

Here’s how we got here…

• Chiefs vs. Ravens Prediction

Lions vs. 49ers

The Lions offense was seeing a 37% week to week regression in their scoring behavior heading into their bye week. Afterwards?

A massive 43% improvement.

The Lions defense was seeing a 1% week to week regression in their score prevention behavior heading into their by week. Afterwards?

An 11% week to week improvement.

What does this mean for Sunday?

• Full Analysis to come in Thursday’s Newsletter

FULL Conference Championship Game Analytics

Chiefs vs. Ravens

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